A frustrating day yesterday,
4 races, 2nd in all 4, and a non-runner.
Still managed to get 6 of the 9 placed at decent prices though.
Win = 0%, Place = 66%
Seeing as the Pointers at Haydock have been doing well I’ve done the big races there and then the other main races today.
A couple of people have asked if I can give my opinion and narrow it down to one horse, but then that would be doing the same as everyone else, who do tips, and I prefer to give you the facts rather than just a horses name.
Plus I am actually giving you my verdict by narrowing the field down, as some have very similar figures and I only select the ones I think have a good chance.
Sometimes I can select just one horse, sometimes there are 2 horses that stand out. In the big runner races of near 20 horses it’s difficult to analyse all 20 horses and only highlight 2 as there’s so much form to go on.
HAYDOCK (Good to Firm)
2.30 (Class 2 Silver Bowl) Gabrial (4/1) is 2-2 on the Ground. Lord Of the Shadows (25/1) is 100% Place from 4 runs on the Ground & won at Distance. Both won at the Class. Trail Blaze (Non-runner)
3.00 (Group 2 Temple Stakes) Bated Breath (3/1) is 50% Win & 83% Place on G-F, won 2-3 at Course. Borderlescott (25/1) 80% Place at Group 2 level, 62% Place at 5f & 68% Place on Ground, 63% Place at Course & 75% Place C+D. Best Terms (18/1) won all 3 at 5f & won 2 of 3 on the Ground, 2-2 at Group 2. Tangerine Trees (9/1) won last 2 at 5f, 54 % Place on the Ground, Group 1 winner.
3.15 (Group 1 Irish 2000 Guineas) Wrote (8/1) is 2-2 on Good ground, 2-3 at Distance, Group 1 winner. Power (10/3) won & Placed on Good from 2 runs, 75% Place at Group 1, won 2-3 at Course.
GOODWOOD (Good to Firm)
2.45 (Listed) Jet Away (3/1) won 2 of last 3 on G-F, 100% Place at Distance & at Course. Opera Gal (20/1) placed in last 5 races on G-F, 60% Place at Listed level.
YORK (Good to Firm)
3.10 (Listed) None have won on G-F. Barbican (5/1) 1-1 at Distance, won last 2 Listed races. Western Pearl (20/1) placed on all 3 runs at Distance.
3.45 (Class 2) 18 runners… Vocational (33/1) 100% Place on Ground. Albany Rose (20/1) 75% Place on Ground, 50% Place at Distance. Dancing Freddy (20/1) won last 2 5f races on G-F. Tax Free (20/1) 53% Place on Ground, won Group 2 & 3′s, 40% Place at Course.
Thanks for everyone who has been viewing the Blog the past few days (as well as those who always do), and for the kind comments recently.
Bit of a mixed bag today, some pointers, some hearsay and some opinion and through the card at Beverley…
Saturday’s Pointers = 21% Win, 35% Place.
4.25 Curragh Odds-on, but St Nicholas Abbey is way ahead of these. Plus the only one to win on the ground, won 2 of 3 at Curragh. Possible danger could be Sharestan, who has won 2 from 2 at the course, maiden and handicap and suffered narrow defeat LTO to Famous Name. (2/5 & 5/2)
J.Geake and K.Scallan have a 75% win rate at Bath 4.15, today run Glens Wobbly. Today’s first time on Soft. (20/1)
2.25 Beverley, the maiden, Richard Fahey is ‘supposed to be keen’ on his runner Fly Fisher. (2/1)
2.55 Beverley First Fast Now has finished 2nd on last 3 visits here, and is 1-1 on today’s ground. (6/1)
3.25 Beverley Ailsa Craig and Amazing Blue Sky have both won at a Class higher than today. Both C+D. (7/2 & 4/1)
4.00 Beverley Toto Skyllachy (no prizes for guessing the sire) and Icy Blue are best on the ground, the former won and placed from 4 tries here. (4/1 & 6/1)
4.30 Beverley None have won at this distance. Maybeagrey is the only horse to win a handicap (twice). Neil’s Pride has placed the best on this ground. (10/1 & 10/3)
5.00 Beverley Lolita Lebron has won and placed twice from 5 races at 7f. The win being 2 Classes higher than today. (7/1)
5.30 Beverley On old form, top weight Al Muheer is the best horse, place today? Also worth a possible place mention Shadowtime & Smalljohn. (14/1, 16/1 & 18/1)
6.00 Beverley The trainer’s son has napped Red Tyke, who along with Johnny Cavagin are the only 2 horses to have ran at Beverley before. Both horses are the only ones to win at 7f, and both 1-1. (Both 7/1)
2.15 Kempton One of my follow horses runs today, Rajnagan. 1st and 3rd from last 3 flat races, You can put a line through his 7th. Usually a hurdler, winning 4 of 12 at a higher class than today, but this is first time on UK all-weather. Promising jockey booking: William Buick. (Drifted from 5/1 fav to 8/1)
Welcome to today’s Blog update. I’ve gone for something different this week, Bets I think that offer good value, and aren’t actual Outright Win bets. The two Man Utd bets are each all one bet, ie. Rooney or Hernandez is part of the same bet. (all odds: William Hill)
Manchester City v. Wigan Athletic
Total Goals, Over 3: 6/5 (City won 3-0, Tevez missed penalty!)
Bolton Wanderers v. Manchester United
Wayne Rooney or Javier Hernandez to Score First: 13/8 (WON – Hernandez after 4 mins)
A cover bet for that could be Man Utd to come from behind and Draw or Win: 15/4
2.35: York Glory, Place Only – 4 Places: 11/8 (5th!)
3.10 (St Leger): Census, Place Only – 3 Places: 10/11 (5th!)
2.40: An Ghalanta, Place Only – 3 Places: 4/5 (WON – finished 3rd)
3.15: Power, Place Only – 3 Places 4/9 (WON – 1st)
It was four-year-old LOLLY FOR DOLLY‘s last race yesterday, the Coolmore Fusaichi Pegasus Matron Stakes (Group 1) at Leopardstown, which was won by Emulous.
Even though she was still entered in future races this year, including the QIPCO British Champions Day at Ascot in October. She beat Emulous in April in the Big Bad Bob Gladness Stakes (Group 3), but she gained her revenge when they next met in May, aswell as yesterday.
She’s been a horse I’ve followed since March this year after taking a shine to her when watching her race at the Curragh on At The Races, with her distinctive grey and pink colours, where she beat Banimpire, under top weight.
Her biggest win came at Royal Ascot in June this year, when she produced a shock win in the Windsor Forest Stakes (Fillies’ Group 2) at odds of 11/1 (opened at 14/1) with a late surge down the stands rail to win by one and a half lengths. (My only winner that day – blog page here)
Trained by Tommy Stack, a former Grand National winning jockey on Red Rum, she won 5 of her 12 races, 3 of which were this year, plus two 2nd’s, accumulating £185,000 in prize money.
Lolly for Dolly was partnered by jockey Wayne Lordan on all but one of her races, giving him his first ever Royal Ascot win.
Article by: @MartWes
Thanks for looking at my Blog. I left the racing alone yesterday and concentrated on the opening day of the football season.
There’s 3 meetings today, but the best by far is Curragh.
Pick of the card being the Keeneland Phoenix Stakes (Group 1) at 4.05pm.
I REALLY want Frederick Engels to win. His trainer David Brown has only been training for 4 years, and is only ‘small’ compared to the power (pun intended), wealth and resources of Aidan O’Brien. Plus I’ve followed the horse since I picked him out at Musselburgh and he secured his first victory. I was also there at Royal Ascot to see him blitz the Windsor Castle Stakes!
It would be a good story for racing if the horse who only cost £12,000 could come over from England and halt Mr O’Brien’s domination of this race. David Brown thinks the world of the horse and I hope at 4.15pm his is celebrating a Group 1 win.
The 3 races that interest me are:
The prices stated above are what I got yesterday. You can still get the 8/11 Banimpire, but Frederick Engels has gone into 11/4 from 9/2 originally when Paddy Power announced their odds. Deacon Blue has gone in a shade to 4/6.
I was also thinking of doing MAYBE, but not totally sure. Jessica Harrington won the race last year and has the second favourite this time around with REMEMBER ALEXANDER.
(MAYBE WINNER! 5/4) Did back this in the end.
photo courtesy of The Independant
silks from Sporting Life (borrowing the idea from keejayOV & Bet-Share)