My Bets for Saturday, only small stakes. Bet at your own risk if you do these too.
2.20 – Highland Knight 3/1
2.55 - Franciscan 9/1
3.30 – Staying loyal to these 2: if the ground is Soft: Thunderball 18/1, Good: Spinatrix 14/1
4.05 – Albaqaa 4/1, Duke of Clarence 8/1
- – - – - – - – - – - – - – - – - -
A photo of Wednesday’s 40/1 winner MAYFIELD GIRL, my biggest ever.
Photo copyright SD Photos:
These are just my bets/picks, which I share hoping they’re decent. If you do any of these on my say so, bet entirely at your own risk, thanks for looking.
Doncaster 3.05 The William Hill Lincoln Handicap
Swiftly Done 25/1
Has had 22 races, finished in the first 3 11 times, winning 1 of 3 Class 2 races. Won 4 of last 8 races at a mile. Big price but at 4 places each way I’m having a go. Has won on Soft aswell. Jockey is a 7lb claimer I’ve never heard of though, so is risky.
Chapter Seven 11/1
Is a C&D winner on Soft ground. Only had 2 starts on Soft, won both, the other being at York. Graham Lee rides.
These are the 2 I was initially on last week before the meeting was cancelled, and I’m on again today. Luckly they are still roughly the same prices.
BIG PRICES: I haven’t bet on these two (hope that’s not a mistake), but I think they’re worth a mention: Majestic Myles 40/1, Chosen Character 28/1.
A superb record of 3 wins from 3 races at 6 furlongs on Soft ground.
Very consistent. Form on Soft: 1322. 27% win and 93% place at 6 furlongs. Again another unknown 7lb claimer onboard.
The Lockmaster 10/1
This is a horse I keep an eye on. Never seems to run a bad race, although just lately hasn’t produced the goods on the all weather since winning at Southwell. Trainer Michael Appleby has confirmed my thoughts to why this is. Today could be a different matter. Won 2 of last 3 10 furlong races, all on turf. Has won here before.
Kempton Each Way Lucky 15
2.20 Robin Hoods Bay 2/1
2.55 Buckland 7/1
4.05 Spirit of Sharjah 25/1
4.35 Seek The Fair Land 16/1
Warning: I know virtually nothing about Dubai Racing
But Meydan Each Way Lucky 15
1.10 Moonwalk In Paris 9/1
2.25 Shuruq 8/1
3.45 Krypton Factor 9/1
4.40 Sajjhaa 7/1
Use your Smart Phone for only £15 a month & NO CONTRACT with UNLIMITED Web AND Txts plus 400 mins. http://giffgaff.com/orders/affiliate/martinwes < £5 free with this link.
I’m not very good on jumps but thought I’d try for a change, rather than do All Weather everyday.
Taunton, Huntingdon, Doncaster + 1 at Wolverhampton.
These are just my picks, very small stakes, and I can’t recommend you do them just on my say so…
Giffgaff is O2′s online only network, ie no call centre or shops = very cheap monthly deals and NO CONTRACT, not even 30 days rolling. I use them myself, it basically is just like being on O2.
£5 FREE credit if you order your sim via the advert when you activate. They also have other deals if 250 mins isn’t enough.
An alright day yesterday, 2 winners (10/1 & 5/4) and placed: 25/1, 12/1, 8/1 & 6/1 from 6 races at York.
DONCASTER (Good to Soft)
2.00 (Class 5) Zefooha (14/1) won last 2 on Ground, won 2 of last 4 & 56% place at Distance & won at Class. The Oil Magnate (8/1) won 2 of 4 on Ground, won & placed from 3 runs at Course, won at Class & Class 4.
3.35 (Class 3) Solar Spirit (20/1) 30% win & 60% place on Ground, won last race at Distance. Shahzan (6/1) won 1 from 1 on Ground, won 1 from 1 at Distance & 1 of only 3 to win a big field race. Both don’t have the best record at Class 3 though.
4.10 (Class 5) Doesn’t look a very good race… None of the horses have won on the Ground (G-S). None have won on Good either, but Regal Acclaim (3/1) won 2 of 3 on Soft, won & placed from 2 runs at Distance, 40% win & 80% place in handicaps, placed at Class. Mick Slates (5/1) won at Distance, placed on Ground.
4.40 (Class 4) Ingleby Exceed (14/1) 20% win & 60% place on Ground, winning recently, same percentages for Distance, won at Class. One Scoop Or Two (33/1) has won 2 of 3 at the Distance when the Ground has been G-S, won & 50% place at Class. St Oswald (8/1) 58% place in handicaps & won 2 of last 4. She´s A Character (5/1) won all 3 races at Course, 1 on the Ground & Class 4, 33% win & 44% place at Class.
5.15 (Class 5) Devote Myself (9/2) the only Distance winner, the only Class winner & 67% place.
All my own work, so please RT if you use anything or find it interesting, thanks.
The only 3 I’m interested in today,
had small bets on all 3 and done them in a Patent.
Rain forecast from 10am til 7pm according
to Met Office website:
DONCASTER (Good to Soft)
8.20 (Class 5) Magic Destiny (3/1) the only horse to Place on G-S, won 1-1 on Soft, won 1-1 at Distance, Placed at Course, 100% Place at Class (3 races) winning 1.
8.50 (Class 3) Dragonera (13/2 EW) depending how Soft it goes, won & placed from 2 races on that, Won 2-2 at Distance, won 1-1 at Course.
9.20 (Class 5) Naseem Alyasmeen (5/2) Placed 2-2 on G-S, won & placed twice from 3 runs on Soft, won & placed from 3 runs at Distance, won 2-3 handicaps, Placed at Class 3 & 4, won & placed at Class 5.
2 Winners at York yesterday from 6 races, Easy Terms 14/1 and Laugh Out Loud 7/2. Surprisingly there was no places. Which must be the first time since I’ve been doing these Pointers.
And two 8/1 2nd’s at Newcastle from 4 races.
Today gives us Frankel’s first run as a 4-year-old and also younger brother Noble Mission’s 4th race.
Not very keen on the Going here… G-S on Round course, Good (G-S in places) on Straight Course.
2.00 (Listed) None are Distance winners. Ibicenco (5/2) Placed in a Group 1. Junoob (12/1) previous Listed winner, 33% Win rate LH.
2.30 (Class 2) Whaileyy (6/1) 75% Place at 6f. Bertiewhittle (9/2) 50% Place on Ground & 40% Place at Class.
3.05 (Class 2) Rewarded (8/1) 2-2 on G-S, 1-1 at Class 2. Expense Claim (7/1) 1-1 on Ground, 1-1 at Distance.
3.40 (Group 1) Don’t need Pointers for this, but: Frankel (1/3) 100% on Good and G-S. Excelebration (11/4) 100% Place at Distance. These 2 are the only Group 1 winners. Both Course winners. (Should be the forecast)
5.20 (Class 4) Depending how much of the straight course is Good, Imelda Mayhem (25/1) has won 2-4 on the Ground. Boudoir (16/1) won 2-3 at 7f. Dare To Dream (12/1) Won and Placed at Course.
- – - – - – - – - – - – -
1.40 (Class 4) Ongoodform (10/1) 60% Place on Ground. Myboyalfie (14/1) 2-3.
2.15 (Listed) Noble Mission (7/4) is the only Distance winner, (3 are untried though). Also Course and only Class 1 winner.
2.45 (Class 2) Alejandro (33/1) 2-3 on G-F & Class winner. Mince (4/1) 75% Place at Distance & 1-1 on Ground.
3.20 (Listed) Silverheels (14/1) & Saigon (11/2) both over 50% Place on the Ground (Saigon Listed winner, Silverheels Placed). Mr Red Clubs (40/1) won last 3 at Distance.
3.55 (Class 2) Spice Fair (11/2) hasn’t finished out of the first 3 in his last 4 races and 100% Place at Distance.
5.40 (Class 3) Cape Safari (20/1) 2-3 at Distance & 80% Place in Handicaps.
- – - – - – - – - – - – -
6.10 (Class 5) 19 Runners… Al Furat (16/1) 60% Place on Good ground. Eijaaz (12/1) 45% Place on Ground, 54% Place at Distance. Embsay Crag (6/1) 80% Place at Doncaster. I also have to give one of ‘my follow’ horses a mention: Jeer (10/1) 31% win & 50% Place at the Class & 57% Place in May.
7.45 (Class 3) Savanna Days (14/1) 100% Place at Distance & 1-1 in Handicaps. Bronze Angel (16/1) 1-2 at Distance & Class winner.
8.20 (Class 4) Cape Classic (5/2) 100% Place on Ground & 2-4 at Distance, 100% Place in Handicaps, 80% Place at Class 4. Barkston Ash (25/1) 4-6 at Distance & 50% Place on Ground.
8.50 (Class 4) Famous Poet (9/4) 2-3 at Distance.
- – - – - – - – - – - – -
2.20 (Class 6) Lolita Lebron (8/1) won on Ground, 40% Place in Handicaps. Pelican Rock (16/1) 100% Place at Distance. Golden Valley (14/1) the only Course winner, and only other Ground winner.
2.55 (Class 3) Mon Brav (11/2) 67% Win & 100% Place at Thirsk, won this Race last year. Beckermet (9/1) 67% Place at Thirsk & 47% Place in Handicaps.
3.30 (Class 4) Dolphin Rock (8/1) 57% Place on Ground & 67% Place at Distance and Class, 54% Place in Handicaps plus Course winner. I´m Super Too (16/1) won 3 of last 4 on Ground, Placed at Course.
4.05 (Class 2) Doc Hay (12/1) won 2 of 4 on Good. Lui Rei (7/1) 63% Place at Distance, Won Group 2 & 3.
5.45 (Class 4) Beauty Pageant (11/1) 75% Win & 100% Place on Ground & 71% Place at 5f, Course winner plus 75% Place at Class. Tyfos (16/1) 54% Place on Ground & 50% Place at 5f.
MY PICKS FROM EACH MEETING:
Newbury: Rewarded 8/1, Frankel & Excelebration Forecast.
Newmarket: Noble Mission 7/4, Saigon 11/2, Spice Fair 11/2.
Doncaster: Cape Classic 5/2.
Thirsk: Mon Brav 11/2, Dolphin Rock 8/1, Beauty Pageant 11/1.
Yesterday was the start of the Flat season for 2012, and the big race to signify this is the William Hill Lincoln Handicap at Doncaster.
The race was won by Brae Hill, ridden by Tony Hamilton, who was also the jockey for Ontoawinner’s Ailsa Craig in the 4.55pm 1m 2f Handicap.
It was a chilly day, but there were plenty of racegoers out in force, many of whom must have been freezing with their choice of attire. Whereas watching on At The Races today it’s the total opposite, sunny and a lot less people there.
Ontoawinner very kindly invited me to join them as one of their guests for the day. We spent most of the afternoon in the Owners & Trainers bar, but I went out to watch every race rather than watch on the TV’s in there.
Betting wise I didn’t have any winners, but when you see the prices of them I’m guessing not many people did.
It was definitely a bookies day. I always think Doncaster is like that. Always big priced winners.
It was still a very good experience though, the Ontoawinner team are very good company and make you feel welcome. If you are debating whether to take the step into racehorse ownership they are a worthy Syndicate option to consider. They’ve only been going since May last year and had a tremendous season – ending with 6 winners and 17 placed from only 6 horses. They start this campaign with 10 horses and aim to achieve even more success.
As for Ailsa Craig, things didn’t go her way. She tired on the home straight and finished near the back, but it was her first race for nearly 6 months, so will come on for the run.
She did win something though: Best Turned Out! Which speaking to the lads yesterday is something she regularly gets awarded.
Her trainer Edwin Tuer, won the same award at Doncaster today aswell with his only runner The Blue Banana.
It was a very good day out, and thank you to Ontoawinner for their kind hospitality. If you would like to experience a day as an owner and all the benefits that go with it on a try before you buy basis, then enter their competition every time Ailsa Craig races, as they hold a prize draw for free owners badges!
Scroll down for more PHOTOS… (click images for full size)
Thanks for looking at my Blog. Quite a few bets today, as other than when I went to Huntingdon on Thursday, I haven’t had a bet since Sunday.
A good day on here last Saturday, two football trebles, the higher price one won, and 2 out of three on the other. Today’s treble is the same as last weeks, in that nothing stood out massive at me, so I’ve picked what I feel are 3 good possibles, but by no means certain.
Really hoping I can keep up the good run of form on the football. Which stands at 7 out of 10 successful Trebles.
Football Treble - 5/1
MK Dons to beat Oldham (Won)
Sheff Utd to beat Rochdale (Won)
Charlton to beat Walsall (Drew)
HORSERACING: I’ve left alone all the obvious ones/odds-on shots, and tried to pick decent value.
12.45pm Mossley 9/4 (2nd)
2.30pm Medermit each way 10/1 (2nd)
3.05pm (International Hurdle) Menorah 10/3 (unplaced)
1.15pm McConnell 11/8 (unplaced)
2.55pm Stanley Rigby 10/3 (unplaced)
8.20pm Loyalty 4/1 (2nd)
2.45pm Kie 7/2 (3rd)
Welcome to today’s Blog update. I’ve gone for something different this week, Bets I think that offer good value, and aren’t actual Outright Win bets. The two Man Utd bets are each all one bet, ie. Rooney or Hernandez is part of the same bet. (all odds: William Hill)
Manchester City v. Wigan Athletic
Total Goals, Over 3: 6/5 (City won 3-0, Tevez missed penalty!)
Bolton Wanderers v. Manchester United
Wayne Rooney or Javier Hernandez to Score First: 13/8 (WON – Hernandez after 4 mins)
A cover bet for that could be Man Utd to come from behind and Draw or Win: 15/4
2.35: York Glory, Place Only – 4 Places: 11/8 (5th!)
3.10 (St Leger): Census, Place Only – 3 Places: 10/11 (5th!)
2.40: An Ghalanta, Place Only – 3 Places: 4/5 (WON – finished 3rd)
3.15: Power, Place Only – 3 Places 4/9 (WON – 1st)
It’s finally here… Derby Day! I’ve gone for Carlton House as I can’t see it being beat, and also has Ryan Moore onboard. Hopefully the injury scare was just that… a scare and doesn’t flare up today. I’ve sided with Native Khan for e/w value, and Johnny Murtagh riding must be a good thing. Quality jockey and won the Oaks yesterday at 20/1. The other two I think could also place are Ocean War and Treasure Beach, 14/1 and 25/1, but I’ll stick with NK.
Here are my Selections for today:
ORIENTAL CAVALIER 3.55 Doncaster (7/1 Each Way) (WON)
ETERNAL HEART – 3.10 Musselburgh (5/1) (WON 11/2)
BOLD BIDDER – 2.05 Musselburgh (7/2) 2nd
LIGHTNING CLOUD – 4.45 Musselburgh (7/4) unplaced
BOOGIE SHOES – 1.40 Epsom (2/1) 3rd
PREMIO LOCO – 2.40 Epsom (7/4) unplaced
CARLTON HOUSE 4.00 Epsom Derby (5/2) 3rd (Native Khan e/w 10/1) unplaced
Also don’t forget there’s another 14 peoples Win and E/W selections for the DERBY HERE
All prices Paddy Power, this morning.
Picture courtesy of The Guardian