My Bets for Saturday, only small stakes. Bet at your own risk if you do these too.
2.20 – Highland Knight 3/1
2.55 - Franciscan 9/1
3.30 – Staying loyal to these 2: if the ground is Soft: Thunderball 18/1, Good: Spinatrix 14/1
4.05 – Albaqaa 4/1, Duke of Clarence 8/1
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A photo of Wednesday’s 40/1 winner MAYFIELD GIRL, my biggest ever.
Photo copyright SD Photos:
NOTTINGHAM – Long Shots
As you can see from the prices, the Bookies don’t think any of these will win. I won’t go through the reasons why, but I think they have slim chances of placing, and you never know, one of them might spring a surprise.
2.40 – Mayfield Girl 25/1
3.10 – Silvanus 33/1
3.40 – The Bull Hayes 33/1
4.10 – Weapon of Choice 14/1
4.40 – Mister Marcasite 16/1
Decent day today at Southwell, put two horses on Twitter, one won, 20/1 sp Calculating.
No big prices there for Wednesday, well not to me anyway. I’ve picked the horses as per normal and then as always price up after. Prices are Bet365 and might be slightly out of date now time I’ve done this blog, but are genuine.
I’ll write a very brief line for each, to give you a part of the reason I’ve chosen them.
If either of the 3.10, 3.45, 4.20 or 4.55 are to get beat, here’s what I think by, so Reverse Forecast:
3.10 Caldercruix / Kung Hei Fat Choy
3.45 Sewn Up / Hannah’s Turn
4.20 Rio Cobolo / Elusive Hawk
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A very foggy day with extremely poor visability. I’m not overly happy with a lot of these photos due to that, as I’ve had to adjust them in Photoshop to try and get rid of the fog.
Click Photos to see the whole image, and full size. Hover over Photo for Caption.
All 3 are currently out of form, so are risky.
I’ve mentioned them purely for their record at Southwell.
Ace Of Spies 4/1.
Stanley Rigby 9/2.
Ace Of Spies: the only C&D winner. Hayley is 1-1 on the horse here.
Bandstand: won both previous races here, on winning mark.
Stanley Rigby: won 5-7 races here, 1 from 2 at today’s distance.
Please note Tuesday will be the first days racing on this new surface, so I’m guessing it will ride slow, hence could throw up strange results.
Also there will be plenty of horses trying the fibresand for the first time.
I’ve done a small Trixie e/way.
The Treble is 301/1, but most of my trebles only get 2 winners!
If you use these on my say so please only use small stakes, bet a own risk.
I’ve already done today’s Royal Ascot Pointers which are here
But I’ve also had a look at Redcar today, with Royal Ascot proving a lottery this week. I’ve researched them like normal, and then checked prices after. Unfortunately most are either favourite or second favourite. Which means short prices, but also means they “should” win.
3.20 (Class 5)
Al Furat (10/3) won & placed on Ground, won 2 of 3 at Course & won at class.
4.00 (Class 3)
Kiwi Bay (11/4) only horse to win on Ground, won at Distance, 4 x Course winner & 78% place & won at Class.
Next Edition (11/4) placed on Ground, placed all 3 runs at Distance, won & placed from 3 runs at Course.
4.35 (Class 6)
Scottish Boogie (Non-runner)
Eijazz (6/1) 24% win & 43% place on Ground, 14% win & 43% place at Distance, won twice at Course, 60% place at Class.
5.10 (Class 5)
Broctune Papa Gio (4/1) won & 43% place at Distance, 22% win & 56% place at Distance, 3 x Course winner & 56% place there, 33% win & 67% place at Class.
Outlaw Torn (10/1) won on Ground from2 runs, 20% win & 40% place at Distance, placed at Class.
All my own work, so please RT if you use anything or find it interesting, thanks.
Bad day on Thursday, no winners, just Bronze Angel 20/1 3rd.
Please Note: These Pointers are based on the going hopefully being Soft.
2.30 (Group 3 Albany) Premier Steps (20/1) won 1-1 at Course on Soft, 5f though. Newfangled (2/1) won on soft Ground at Distance. All On Red (40/1) won on soft Ground at Distance, placed at Class 2. Sendmylovetorose (14/1) won on soft Ground at Distance.
3.05 (Group 2 King Edward) Shantaram non runner so: Noble Mission won on soft Ground, won Listed race (4/1). Astrology (5/4) place at Group 1, 2 & won Group 3, won on soft Ground.
3.45 (Group 1 Coronation) Laugh Out Loud (5/1) won 4 of 5 at Distance. Homecoming Queen (7/2) won at Distance and Group 1. Samitar (9/2) 25% win & 75% place at Distance, won Group 1.
4.25 (Listed Wolferton) Retrieve (16/1) won on heavy Ground & placed on soft, won & 43% place at Distance. Qaraaba (8/1) won last 2 on soft Ground, won 2 of last 3 at Distance.
5.00 (Group 3 Queen’s Vase) No horse won at the Distance. Athens (4/1) won on soft Ground & placed on heavy, placed at Group 3. Macbeth (7/1) won on soft Ground & placed on heavy.
5.25 (Class 2 Buckingham Palace) ‘Lottery race’, 30 runners… in no order: Thunderball (33/1) won last 2 on soft Ground, won at Course. Global Village (10/1) won 2 of 3 on soft Ground, won last 2 at Distance, Course winner. Primaeval (10/1) won 3 of last 4 at Distance, won at Class, placed at Course. Bronze Prince (25/1) won at Distance, at Class, at Course.
Prices are all Bet365
All my own work, so please RT if you use anything or find it interesting, thanks.
One winner yesterday 12/1, and the Frankel/Excelebration forecast & 16/1 place.
Anything could happen today… Lots of massive fields, but that also brings big prices.
2.30 (Class 1 Jersey Stakes) 26 runner race… Laffan (40/1) won last 2 on Ground, won last 2 at Distance. Producer (20/1) won 4 of last 5 on Ground and Distance, won at Class. Reply (7/1) 40% win & 80% place on Ground, won 1-1 at Distance, placed at Group 1 & 1 of only 2 horses to win a big field race. Sovereign Debt (14/1) won 2-2 at Course, won 1-2 at Distance, won 2-4 on Ground.
3.05 (Group 2 Windsor Forest) Emulous (7/2) won 4-4 on Ground, won last 4 at Distance, won Group 1. Nahrain (4/1) won 3-3 at Distance, won 2-3 on Ground, won & placed from 2 Group 1′s. Chachamaidee (4/1) 83% place on Ground, 67% place at Distance, 21% win & 71% place at Class 1. Law Of The Range (50/1) won 4 of last 7 at Distance, won 1-1 at Course, 25% win & 75% place at Class 1.
3.45 (Group 1 Prince of Wales) So You Think (Evens) 57% win & 86% place on Ground, 64% win at Distance, but not won in last 3, 60% win at Group 1. Carlton House (3/1) won 2-2 at Distance, won 2-3 at Class 1. Reliable Man (14/1) won 2-2 at Distance.
4.25 (Class 2 Royal Hunt Cup) 30 runners… Boom And Bust (22/1) won 4 of last 5 at Distance, won at Class. Arabian Star (16/1) won & placed 3 times at Distance from 4 runs, won at Class. King Torus (50/1) won 2-2 Group 2. Edinburgh Knight (14/1) won & placed from 3 runs at Course, won at Class. All 3 except King Torus won a big field race.
5.00 (Group 2 Queen Mary) 27 runners… Ceiling Kitty (14/1) won Listed Race, won on Ground & Distance. Graphic Guest (8/1) only Course winner, won at Distance & Ground.
5.35 (Class 1 Sandringham) Esentepe (11/1) 20% win & 60% place on Ground, 35% win & 75% place at Distance, won at Class. Pimpernel (10/1) 33% win & 67% place on Ground, won at Class. Falls Of Lora (20/1) won on Ground & at Distance, Course winner.
The best meeting of the year in my opinion by a mile… Royal Ascot.
ASCOT (Good to Soft)
2.30 (Group 1 Queen Anne) Pretty obvious: Frankel won 2-2 on Ground, won 7-7 at Distance, won 6-6 at Group 1, won 3-3 at Course. Excelebration untried on Ground, won 2 at Distance and 100% place also 100% place in Group 1, winning 1, placed 2-2 at Course. (Recommendation: Forecast).
3.05 (Group 1 King’s Stand) Ortensia (5/1) won 5 times and 73% place on Ground, won 4 of 5 at Distance, won last 2 Group 1′s. Little Bridge (11/1) won 5-7 at Distance. Prohibit (14/1) won last 2 at Course including at Group 1.
3.45 (Group 1 St Jame’s Palace) Lucayan (11/1) won and placed from 2 runs on Ground, won last 2 and 100% place at Distance, won 1-1 at Group 1. Power (10/3) 40% win & 80% place at Group 1, won 1-1 at Course, won 1-2 at Distance.
4.25 (Group 2 Coventry) Sir Prancealot (4/1) won at Class 1, won 1-1 at Distance. Top Boy (66/1) placed at Class 1, placed on Ground, placed 2-4 at Distance, the only horse to previously ran at Course, finishing 4th.
5.00 (Class 2 Ascot Stakes) Veiled (9/1) the only Distance winner, only Course winner, won at Class.
5.35 (Windsor Castle Listed Class 1) Smoothtalkinrascal (8/1) won on Ground & at Distance. Mossgo (66/1) won on Ground & at Distance. Bungle Inthejungle (14/1) won at Class 2, won last 2 at Distance
Prices = Bet365