Wed 10th April – Nottingham Racing

Paul Hanagan

NOTTINGHAM – Long Shots
As you can see from the prices, the Bookies don’t think any of these will win.  I won’t go through the reasons why, but I think they have slim chances of placing, and you never know, one of them might spring a surprise.

2.40 – Mayfield Girl 25/1

3.10 – Silvanus 33/1

3.40 – The Bull Hayes 33/1

4.10 – Weapon of Choice 14/1

4.40 – Mister Marcasite 16/1

Prices: Paddy Power

Southwell AW Racing – Wed 26 March

Jack Dawkins winning at Southwell

Decent day today at Southwell, put two horses on Twitter, one won, 20/1 sp Calculating.

No big prices there for Wednesday, well not to me anyway.  I’ve picked the horses as per normal and then as always price up after.  Prices are Bet365 and might be slightly out of date now time I’ve done this blog, but are genuine.

I’ll write a very brief line for each, to give you a part of the reason I’ve chosen them.

SOUTHWELL

2.10 Jack Dawkins – Good record here, only lost last time by just over a length to Stand Guard. (No price yet)

3.10 Caldercruix – Narrowly beaten here on Saturday in a much better race. Won here before. (9/4)

3.45 Sewn Up – Won here recently, at better Class than the rest. Giving a lot of weight to the favourite though. (11/4)

4.20 Rio Cobolo – Won 2 of last 3 here at Class 5, beat Hellbender lto who I rate. Still on winning mark (5/1)

4.55 Luv U Whatever – 2 from 2 here.  Beat Ivy Port lto, IP won today. (7/4)

 

If either of the 3.10, 3.45, 4.20 or 4.55 are to get beat, here’s what I think by, so Reverse Forecast:

3.10 Caldercruix / Kung Hei Fat Choy

3.45 Sewn Up / Hannah’s Turn

4.20 Rio Cobolo / Elusive Hawk

4.55 Luv U Whatever / Apache Rising

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Mon 18th Feb – Racing: Carlisle, Southwell, Wolverhampton

My picks for Monday’s Racing…

CARLISLE
2.00 Madame Lillibet 5/2
2.30 Charlie’s Vic 1/3
3.40 Markadam 11/2, McMurrough 12/1
4.40 Imjoeking 5/4

SOUTHWELL
1.50 Midnight Macarena 6/4
2.50 Wychwoods Brook 6/5

WOLVERHAMPTON
3.15 Bussa 11/4
4.20 Red Somerset 11/8
5.25 Scamperdale 12/1
5.55 Sewn Up 13/2

^ 8.10am: all races priced up now… The two short odds ones were picked last night, prior to being priced up this morning. 5/4 was the shortest price.

Twitter: @MartWes

Southwell Tues 5th Feb

All 3 are currently out of form, so are risky.
I’ve mentioned them purely for their record at Southwell.

Ace Of Spies 4/1.
Bandstand 10/1.
Stanley Rigby 9/2.

Ace Of Spies: the only C&D winner. Hayley is 1-1 on the horse here.
Bandstand: won both previous races here, on winning mark.
Stanley Rigby: won 5-7 races here, 1 from 2 at today’s distance.

Please note Tuesday will be the first days racing on this new surface, so I’m guessing it will ride slow, hence could throw up strange results.
Also there will be plenty of horses trying the fibresand for the first time.

I’ve done a small Trixie e/way.
The Treble is 301/1, but most of my trebles only get 2 winners!

If you use these on my say so please only use small stakes, bet a own risk.

Ace Of Spies

Breeders Cup Competition 2012 – ENTRIES

Saturday’s BREEDERS CUP 2012 – Santa Anita

Info about the competition here

The Races We Are Using:
6.50pm Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf
8.57pm Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint
10.18pm Breeders’ Cup Turf
11.40pm Breeders’ Cup Mile
12.35am Breeders’ Cup Classic

We will be using UK Betting SP’s, obtained from: http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/meeting/santa-anita/03-11-2012/fast-results

COMPETITION ENTRIES: (in order they were sent in)

@MrMattKnights
6.50pm GEORGE VANCOUVER
8.57pm STARSPANGLEDBANNER
10.18pm POINT OF ENTRY
11.40pm EXCELEBRATION
12.35am MUCHO MACHO MAN

@BinmanBert
6:50pm JOHA
8:57pm CALIFORNIA FLAG
10:18pm SHARETA
11:40pm EXCELEBRATION
12:35am GAME ON DUDE

@dh149
6.50pm ARTIGIANO
8.57pm RENEESGOTZIP
10.18pm POINT OF ENTRY
11.40pm EXCELEBRATION
12.35am MUCHO MACHO MAN

@derekw10
6.50pm NOBLE TUNE
8.57pm MIZDIRECTION
10.18pm ST NICHOLAS ABBEY
11.40pm EXCELEBRATION
12.35am GAME ON DUDE

@johntomo28
6.50pm FANTASTIC MOON
8.57pm BRIDGETOWN
10.18pm ST NICHOLAS ABBEY
11.40pm EXCELEBRATION
12.35am ALPHA

@Ger_Stapleton
6.50pm ARTIGANO
8.57pm BRIDGETOWN
10.18pm TRAILBLAZER
11.40pm WISE DAN
12.35am ALPHA

@James__1019
6:50pm DUNDONELL
8:57pm MIZDIRECTION
10:18pm ST NICHOLAS ABBEY
11:40pm EXCELEBRATION
12:35am TO HONOUR AND SERVE

@pjess1978
6:50pm GEORGE VANCOUVER
8:57pm MIZDIRECTION
10:18pm STNICHOLAS ABBEY
11:40pm ANIMAL KINGDOM
12:35am ALPHA

@DanEvans1892
6:50pm I’M BOUNDTOSCORE
8:57pm TALE OF A CHAMPION
10:18pm LITTLE MIKE
11:40pm EXCELEBRATION
12:35am MUCHO MACHO MAN

@BadmanTips
6.50pm DUNDONNELL
8.57pm UNBRIDLED’S NOTE
10.18pm ST NICHOLAS ABBEY
11.40pm EXCELEBRATION
12:35am GAME ON DUDE

@BarryTheNap_AFC
6.50pm DUNDONELL
8.57pm NEXT QUESTION
10.18pm POINT OF ENTRY
11.40pm WISE DAN
12.35am HANDSOME MIKE

@sambrookjames
6.50pm NOBLE TUNE
8.57pm CALIFORNIA FLAG
10.18pm TRAILBLAZER
11.40pm MOONLIGHT CLOUD
12.35am GAME ON DUDE

@allymckinnon
6.50pm ARTIGIANO
8.57pm BRIDGETOWN
10.18pm SHARETA
11.40pm MOONLIGHT CLOUD
12.35am MUCHO MACHO MAN

@CNewton_93
6.50 FANTASTIC MOON
8.57 NEXT QUESTION
10.18 SHARETA
11.40 EXCELEBRATION
12.35 RON THE GREEK

@Mickintockwith
6.50pm LINES OF BATTLE
20.57pm UNBRIDLEDS NOTE
22.18pm TREASURE BEACH
23.40pm EXCELEBRATION
12.35am HANDSOME MIKE

@mrossi11
6:50pm ARTIGIANO
8:57pm MIZDIRECTION
10:18pm SHARETA
11:40pm WISE DAN
12:35am RON THE GREEK

@pauljwatson72
6.50pm ARTIGIANO
8.57pm MIZDIRECTION
10.18pm TRAILBLAZER
11.40pm EXCELLEBRATION
12.35am GAME ON DUDE

@fconwy
6:50pm ARTIGIANO
8:57pm BRIDGE TOWN
10:18pm POINT OF ENTRY
11:40pm WISE DAN
12:35am MUCHO MACHO MAN

@Kris1179
6.50pm ARTIGIANO
8.57pm CORPORATE JUNGLE
10.18pm TRAILBLAZER
11.40pm EXCELEBRATION
12.35am GAME ON DUDE

@AliThorne61
6:50pm NOBLE TUNE
8:57pm STARSPANGLEDBANNER
10:18pm ST NICHOLAS ABBEY
11:40pm WISE DAN
12.35am MUCHO MACHO MAN

@h103efa
6.50pm ARTIGIANO
8.57pm BRIDGETOWN
10.18pm POINT OF ENTRY
11.40pm EXCELEBRATION
12.35am GAME ON DUDE

@JBHPuntersClub1
6.50pm ARTIGIANO
8.57pm STARSPANGLEDBANNER
10.18pm TREASURE BEACH
11.40pm OBVIOUSLY
12.35am FLATOUT

@Precise_Tips
6.50pm ARTIGIANO
8.57pm CHOSEN MIRACLE
10.18pm SHARETA
11.40pm EXCELEBRATION
12.35am FLAT OUT

@Nathaldo
6.50pm JOHA
8.57pm UPGRADE
10.18pm TRAILBLAZER
11.40pm WISE DAN
12.35am GAME ON DUDE

@tamsin1
6.50pm NOBLE TUNE
8.57pm MIZDIRECTION
10.18pm POINT OF ENTRY
11.40pm WISE DAN
12.35am GAME ON DUDE

@doublerup
6.50pm DUNDONNELL
8.57pm CALIFORNIA FLAG
10.18pm POINT OF ENTRY
11.40pm EXCELEBRATION
12.35am.GAME ON DUDE

@calummadell
6:50pm FANTASTIC MOON
8:57pm BRIDGETOWN
10:18pm COGITO
11:40pm EXCELEBRATION
12:35am RON THE GREEK

@rjhutchy
6.50pm BALANCE THE BOOKS
8.57pm UNBRIDLED NOTE
10.18pm SHARETA
11.40pm MOONLIGHT CLOUD
12.35am MUCHO MACH MAN

@tomquinny2
6.50pm GEORGE VANCOUVER
8.57pmCALIFORNIA FLAG
10.18pm ST NICHOLAS ABBEY
11.40pm EXCELEBRATION
12.35am GAME ON DUDE

@jeckythump
6.50pm DUNDONNELL
8.57pm RENEESGOTZIP
10.18pm SHARETA
11.40pm ANIMAL KINGDOM
12.35am GAME ON DUDE

@mulldog
6.50pm BALANCE THE BOOKS
8.57pm RENEESGOTZIP
10.18pm OPTIMIZER
11.40pm ANIMAL KINGDOM
12.35am MUCHO MACHO MAN

Pigeon_island
6.50pm ARTIGIANO
8.57pm BRIDGETOWN
10.18pm ST NICHOLAS ABBEY
11.40pm EXCELEBRATION
12.35am GAME ON DUDE

@domp27
6.50pm ARTIGIANO
8.57pm UPGRADE
10.18pm ST NICHOLAS ABBEY
11.40pm WISE DAN
12.35am GAME ON DUDE

@EamonBrowne
6.50pm GEORGE VANCOUVER
8.57pm BRIDGETOWN
10.18pm SHARETA
11.40pm WISE DAN
12.35am GAME ON DUDE

@jamie_devine
6.50pm GEORGE VANCOUVER
8.57pm STARSPANGLEDBANNER
10.18pm ST NICHOLAS ABBEY
11.40pm WISE DAN
12.35am MUCHO MACHO MAN

@papafleming
6.50pm DUNDONNELL
8.57pm MIZDIRECTION
10.18pm POINT OF ENTRY
11.40pm MOONLIGHT CLOUD
12.35am MUCHO MACHO MAN

@MartWes
6.50pm GERVINHO
8.57pm CALIFORNIA FLAG
10.18pm POINT OF ENTRY
11.40pm EXCELEBRATION
12.35am GAME ON DUDE

Fri 2nd Nov – Breeders Cup

BREEDERS CUP 2012 – Santa Anita

Friday

Bear in mind, my knowledge of American Racing is virtually none existent – apart from watching the Breeders Cup the past couple of years…  But no point watching without picking some out and having some bets… Some races I couldn’t narrow to less than two, so first choice is in blue.

8.06pm Breeders´ Cup Juvenile Sprint
Merit Man 13/8

9:28pm Breeders´ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf
Flashy Ways 16/1, Sky Lantern 5/2

10.08pm Grey Goose Breeders´ Cup Juvenile Fillies
Executiveprivilege 13/8, Dreaming Of Julia 10/3

10.48pm Breeders´ Cup Filly & Mare Turf
Marketing Mix 7/1, Lady of Shamrock 12/1

11.30pm Breeders´ Cup Ladies´ Classic
Awesome Feather 9/2, My Miss Aurelia 4/1

Only Small stakes…

Fri 19th Oct – Cheltenham + Haydock Pointers & Wolv

AP McCoy at Cheltenham

CHELTENHAM

2.10pm

The New One 11/10. (Won) Won a Group 2 bumper in April, won a recent Class 4 novice hurdle. Won 4 of 5 races.  Won a Bumper here in January.

The Jugopolist 11/2. (Unplaced) Won 1-1 on ground, won 1-1 at Distance when winning last time out in a maiden hurdle at Uttoxeter.

2.45pm

Domtaline 4/1.  (2nd) Won both Chase races at today’s Distance.  Won at a higher class than any of these.  Nicholls/Walsh won this race last year.

Ixora 16/1.  (Unplaced) One of only 2 horses to win on the Ground, won 1-1 at distance.   Chase form: 1122.

3.20pm

Fox Appeal 12/1.  (Unplaced) Unbeaten over hurdles on today’s Ground, winning 2-2, won 3 of 5 hurdle races.

Heaney 11/2.  (3rd) Won 3 of last 4 hurdle races, won last 2 races at Distance.

5.05pm

Iheardu 14/1.(Unplaced)  Won this race last year (same jockey on today). Won both times at Distance, including at Course. One of only 6 out of the 17 runners to win at the Class.  Trainer has 43% win rate here.

5.40pm

Dark Lover 6/1. (Won) Won both races at Distance. Won 1-1 at Class. Unbeaten over hurdles.

Dreambrook Lady 10/1. (Unplaced) Won both hurdle races on G-S. Placed here in a Listed race earlier this year.

HAYDOCK

4.45pm

Chosen Character 4/1. (2nd) Won on Heavy, won 4 of last 6 at 1m, won last 3 at course, won last 2 at class, jockey won 3-5 on him.

WOLVERHAMPTON

6.50pm

Welliesinthewater 10/1.  (NON RUNNER) Recent Course and Distance winner here.  Then ran in a Group 2, finished 13 lengths behind Sir Prancealot. So big drop down in Class.

7.20pm

Justbookie Dot Com 5/2. (Won) Class 6 form here is: 231111. Won last 2 Sellers.

All my own work, so please RT if you use anything or find it interesting, thanks.

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Fri 12th Oct – York & Bath HorsePointers

York Racecourse

A very good Thursday at Ayr, 5 winners from 7 races (none favourites). Drew a blank at Worcester though, no winners from 4 races.

Unwritten rule:
When it’s wet – don’t bet!!! Be aware that the rain throws up some strange results.

York is currently described as Good to Soft, and with more rain expected over night I’m focusing on Good to Soft and allowing for even softer by tomorrow afternoon.

York

2.00pm
Bachoteque 5/1. (Unplaced) A Class 2 race, and only 1 of the 17 runners has won on a anything softer than Good at this Class. If you drop to Class 3, again there’s only 1 horse fitting this criteria… Bachoteque and it was at today’s Distance.  Won his last 2 races (heavy & soft).

3.05pm
Osteopathic Remedy 11/1. (Unplaced) Won his last two Class 2 races at the Distance (on Good to Soft & Heavy.

No Poppy 11/1. (Won) Good to Soft form this season at today’s Distance 231, Class 3 mainly though, so up a Class today.  Has raced 3 times on Soft, won all 3.

Bath

1.30pm
Little Rocky 3/1. (Won) Only had 1 try at today’s Class (2), finished 2nd on Soft.  Other form this year is 341, the win coming on Soft at today’s Distance (Class 3).  One of only 2 horses in the race to win on Soft this year.  The other is one that’s won twice for us, but not at this sort of Class.

2.40pm
Gladiatrix 2/1. (Won) She’s won her last 3 races, 2 of them here.  Latest win was on Monday by 4 lengths which was the first time trying 5f.  First attempt up to  Class 4 though.

Ginzan 8/1.  (Unplaced) A recent C&D winner (at the Class & Distance, on G-S).  Form this season at 5f: 441161.  Hasn’t won on Soft though.

Please DON’T have big bets just on my say so.  A good day today yes, but tomorrow’s another day. Best regards.

Fri 22nd June – Redcar horseracing

Redcar Racecourse

I’ve already done today’s Royal Ascot Pointers which are here

But I’ve also had a look at Redcar today, with Royal Ascot proving a lottery this week.  I’ve researched them like normal, and then checked prices after.  Unfortunately most are either favourite or second favourite.  Which means short prices, but also means they “should” win.

REDCAR (Good)

3.20 (Class 5)
Al Furat (10/3) won & placed on Ground, won 2 of 3 at Course & won at class.

4.00 (Class 3)
Kiwi Bay (11/4) only horse to win on Ground, won at Distance, 4 x Course winner & 78% place & won at Class.
Next Edition (11/4) placed on Ground, placed all 3 runs at Distance, won & placed from 3 runs at Course.

4.35 (Class 6)
Scottish Boogie (Non-runner)
Eijazz (6/1) 24% win & 43% place on Ground, 14% win & 43% place at Distance, won twice at Course, 60% place at Class.

5.10 (Class 5)
Broctune Papa Gio (4/1) won & 43% place at Distance, 22% win & 56% place at Distance, 3 x Course winner & 56% place there, 33% win & 67% place at Class.
Outlaw Torn (10/1) won on Ground from2 runs, 20% win & 40% place at Distance, placed at Class.

All my own work, so please RT if you use anything or find it interesting, thanks.

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Fri 22nd June – Royal Ascot Pointers

Astrology – pic: Racing Post

Bad day on Thursday, no winners, just Bronze Angel 20/1 3rd.

ROYAL ASCOT

Please Note: These Pointers are based on the going hopefully being Soft.

2.30 (Group 3 Albany) Premier Steps (20/1) won 1-1 at Course on Soft, 5f though.  Newfangled (2/1) won on soft Ground at Distance.  All On Red (40/1) won on soft Ground at Distance, placed at Class 2.  Sendmylovetorose (14/1) won on soft Ground at Distance.

3.05 (Group 2 King Edward) Shantaram non runner so: Noble Mission won on soft Ground, won Listed race (4/1).  Astrology (5/4) place at Group 1, 2 & won Group 3, won on soft Ground.

Laugh Out Loud – pic: Sky Sports

3.45 (Group 1 Coronation) Laugh Out Loud (5/1) won 4 of 5 at Distance.  Homecoming Queen (7/2) won at Distance and Group 1.  Samitar (9/2) 25% win & 75% place at Distance, won Group 1.

4.25 (Listed Wolferton) Retrieve (16/1) won on heavy Ground & placed on soft, won & 43% place at Distance.  Qaraaba (8/1) won last 2 on soft Ground, won 2 of last 3 at Distance.

5.00 (Group 3 Queen’s Vase) No horse won at the Distance.  Athens (4/1) won on soft Ground & placed on heavy, placed at Group 3.  Macbeth (7/1) won on soft Ground & placed on heavy.

Global Village – pic: Msn Sport

5.25 (Class 2 Buckingham Palace) ‘Lottery race’, 30 runners… in no order: Thunderball (33/1) won last 2 on soft Ground, won at Course.  Global Village (10/1) won 2 of 3 on soft Ground, won last 2 at Distance, Course winner.  Primaeval (10/1) won 3 of last 4 at Distance, won at Class, placed at Course.  Bronze Prince  (25/1) won at Distance, at Class, at Course.

Prices are all Bet365

All my own work, so please RT if you use anything or find it interesting, thanks.